0xab1249aedbcda3e35f524dd4c44cbde0b3bce715
0xab1249aedbcda3e35f524dd4c44cbde0b3bce715
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$2.86
Total PnL
$-44.07
Realised
$-0.65
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
5 shares @ 35.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.77
$1.02
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.09
$-0.92
- YES
Biden nominated by July 21?
1200 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2024$0.00
$-3.60
- YES
Will Palantir say "Titan Deployment" during earnings call?
26 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
25 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-2.02
- YES
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
25 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2025?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
16 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2024$0.00
$-2.38
- YES
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
15 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will NVIDIA reach $252 in November?
15 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.65
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Nike say "Dividend" during earnings call?$5.00Jan 4, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brian Armstrong say "Stablecoin" 2+ times at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?$5.00Dec 18, 22:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Thank you" or "Please" 10+ times during Bill Signing on December 12?$5.00Dec 13, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Supreme Court" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$2.00Dec 12, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?$0.84Dec 12, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?$0.36Dec 12, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Thank you" or "Please" 10+ times during Bill Signing on December 12?$3.50Dec 12, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Mike" or "Johnson" at the Congressional Ball on December 11?$5.00Dec 12, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Mike" or "Johnson" at the Congressional Ball on December 11?$3.50Dec 12, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Supreme Court" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$3.45Dec 11, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" 3+ times at the Congressional Ball on December 11?$2.31Dec 11, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "250" or "Anniversary" at the Congressional Ball on December 11?$3.50Dec 11, 23:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during December press conference?$5.00Dec 11, 23:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Again" 10+ times during December press conference?$5.00Dec 11, 23:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Projection" 5+ times during December press conference?$5.00Dec 11, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$1.10Dec 10, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Again" 10+ times during December press conference?$4.85Dec 10, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during December press conference?$2.50Dec 10, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Projection" 5+ times during December press conference?$3.50Dec 10, 17:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Frack" or "Fracking" during Pennsylvania events on December 9?$12.00Dec 10, 17:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $2.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 25, 17:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 4, 00:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".