Frightened-Wilderness
0xab12537722d94e5669cd17f14f5b476c3981c64b
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
93
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-774.29
Realised
$-145.25
Win rate
0%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 93- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
355 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-94.72
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
246 shares @ 43.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-107.47
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
245 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-76.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
28 shares @ 29.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-8.33
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
21 shares @ 29.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-6.15
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
19 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-9.65
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
16 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-9.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
15 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
15 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$0.22Apr 9, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$0.88Apr 9, 01:04 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.04Apr 9, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$0.44Apr 8, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$0.66Apr 8, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$1.14Apr 8, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$2.09Apr 8, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$4.29Apr 8, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$4.73Apr 8, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$0.22Apr 8, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$11.00Apr 8, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$3.85Apr 8, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$4.84Apr 8, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$2.42Apr 8, 20:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$11.00Apr 8, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.86Apr 8, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$2.55Apr 8, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$2.00Apr 8, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$4.73Apr 8, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$10.99Apr 8, 20:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
66/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 30 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
30 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $2.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 12:56 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 01:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.