Hard-Nudge
0xab1c6497dfc58a064c93f09037f331396e3e6451
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
186
Open notional
$1.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 186- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- FRK
LoL: FRK vs LNG Esports (BO3)
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strike on Colombia by January 31?
388 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
286 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NATUS VINCERE
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3)
210 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on January 15?
207 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Páfos FC win on 2025-12-10?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NOSKOVA
Brisbane International: Mirra Andreeva vs Linda Noskova
200 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will West Ham win on 2025-12-04?
196 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Genoa CFC win on 2026-04-26?$2.00Apr 26, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-26?$1.00Apr 26, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-26?$4.00Apr 26, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 25?$10.44Apr 25, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-04-24?$2.00Apr 24, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Modena FC 2018 win on 2026-04-24?$2.00Apr 24, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 24?$3.41Apr 24, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Genoa CFC win on 2026-04-19?$12.59Apr 23, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 25?$3.00Apr 23, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 24?$4.00Apr 23, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US Lecce win on 2026-04-20?$5.00Apr 20, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - April 20, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$1.00Apr 20, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-19?$17.12Apr 19, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Genoa CFC win on 2026-04-19?$5.00Apr 19, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-04-19?$5.00Apr 19, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-04-19?$5.00Apr 19, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Burnley FC win on 2026-04-19?$2.00Apr 19, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-19?$10.00Apr 19, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-17?$30.46Apr 18, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUdinese Calcio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5$5.00Apr 18, 11:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $6.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 10:48 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 26, 12:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.