Hurtful-Clause
0xab1c9d49223cf6b3f8a8212a28f7536eee6ef1fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$4.92
Total PnL
$-225.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 8.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.92
$-5.08
- YES
Will Guinea-Bissau win on 2025-09-04?
128 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 4, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?
99 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-24.67
- YES
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-08-26?
61 shares @ 65.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 26, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?
56 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-25?
56 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will El Salvador win on 2025-09-08?
44 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025?
29 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-08-28?
25 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 28, 2025$0.00
$-17.79
- NO
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-08-28?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 28, 2025$0.00
$-4.92
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$5.35Dec 12, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?$4.29Nov 24, 10:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Netherlands recognize Palestine in 2025?$0.20Nov 17, 10:13 UTC
- TRADESELLEU sanctions on Israel by December 31?$6.85Nov 17, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Catarina Martins win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.73Nov 12, 21:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?$3.23Nov 12, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.33Oct 22, 17:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Portugal election?$4.82Oct 3, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Portugal election?$2.00Oct 3, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Portugal election?$1.00Oct 1, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Portugal election?$10.00Sep 30, 22:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Portugal election?$1.00Sep 29, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Portugal election?$3.48Sep 27, 09:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Portugal election?$2.29Sep 19, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEU sanctions on Israel by December 31?$82.14Sep 10, 20:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Panama win on 2025-09-08?$0.00Sep 9, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama win on 2025-09-08?$100.00Sep 9, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill El Salvador win on 2025-09-08?$20.00Sep 9, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Indonesia win on 2025-09-08?$13.00Sep 8, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Poland win on 2025-09-07?$33.13Sep 8, 02:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $22.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 5, 13:24 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 12, 21:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.