Watchful-Variation
0xab23badd532d79483f7b06f334b3c18389708664
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$56.65
Total PnL
$1.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2200 in April?
12 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$11.89
$0.39
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April?
12 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$11.69
$0.39
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April?
11 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$10.71
$0.11
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in April?
9 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$8.65
$0.35
- NO
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?
7 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$7.14
$0.14
- NO
Will XRP reach $2.70 in April?
7 shares @ 91.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$6.58
$0.57
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.70 in April?$6.01Apr 19, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.00 in April?$7.00Apr 19, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2200 in April?$11.50Apr 19, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70k in April?$8.30Apr 19, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110k in April?$10.60Apr 19, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100k in April?$11.30Apr 19, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on March 11?$54.71Apr 19, 10:54 UTC
- SPLITWill the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on March 11?$54.71Mar 11, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kostas Tasoulas be next Greek President?$54.00Mar 11, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kostas Tasoulas be next Greek President?$53.41Jan 24, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill someone else be inaugurated?$0.00Jan 24, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$53.00Jan 24, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill someone else be inaugurated?$0.01Jan 20, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill someone else be inaugurated?$0.01Jan 20, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill someone else be inaugurated?$0.02Jan 20, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill someone else be inaugurated?$2.23Dec 2, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$50.09Dec 2, 10:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.00Dec 2, 10:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.00Dec 2, 10:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gavin Newsom win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.00Dec 2, 10:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $12.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 08:07 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 11:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".