Multicolored-Soil
0xab2d057d2212ee2f016c413e5fee7f1bf2fbb1aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$2.8K
Total PnL
$-327.04
Realised
$-69.73
Win rate
40%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?
443 shares @ 90.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$374.52
$-24.38
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
555 shares @ 56.0¢·now 52.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$292.76
$-18.04
- NO
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
1111 shares @ 21.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$227.75
$-5.55
- YES
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
556 shares @ 41.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$205.54
$-22.22
- YES
Will Jalen Coker have 399.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
250 shares @ 79.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2027$182.50
$-15.00
- YES
Will Bijan Robinson have 374.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
250 shares @ 78.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 12, 2027$176.25
$-18.75
- YES
Will Puka Nacua have 3.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
222 shares @ 80.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jan 12, 2027$172.05
$-5.55
- YES
Will Trey McBride have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
222 shares @ 73.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jan 12, 2027$149.85
$-12.21
- YES
Will Brock Bowers have 899.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
250 shares @ 61.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 12, 2027$136.25
$-16.25
- YES
Will Bijan Robinson have 574.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
250 shares @ 67.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 12, 2027$136.25
$-31.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?$50.00Aug 18, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Puka Nacua have 11.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?$53.20Aug 18, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?$1.00Aug 18, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seahawks win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?$1.07Aug 18, 05:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?$4.00Aug 18, 04:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?$28.90Aug 18, 02:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?$8.50Aug 18, 02:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?$2.61Aug 18, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seahawks win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?$1.30Aug 18, 01:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Aug 18, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$15.18Aug 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs Alex de Minaur$0.08Aug 17, 22:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%?$43.95Aug 17, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate primary by 9–12%?$1.80Aug 17, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%?$6.00Aug 17, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?$180.54Aug 17, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?$17.64Aug 17, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?$2.00Aug 17, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Puka Nacua have 1,124.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?$15.25Aug 17, 09:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Aug 17, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $27.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 07:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.