Happy-Go-Lucky-Standardisation
0xab2f9c408fa6eaf4d5caf59b3f684ac7ab189b32
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$11.57
Total PnL
$-131.89
Realised
$72.06
Win rate
4%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?
6 shares @ 31.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$1.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?
8 shares @ 26.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$1.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$1.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$1.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-08-22?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$1.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza end in a draw?
14 shares @ 14.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$1.79
$-0.21
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1241 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-27.00
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
300 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
222 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
182 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza end in a draw?$2.09Aug 21, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Udinese Calcio win on 2026-08-22?$2.08Aug 21, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?$2.08Aug 21, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?$2.08Aug 21, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?$2.08Aug 21, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?$2.07Aug 21, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?$2.07Aug 21, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?$2.07Aug 21, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?$6.25Aug 20, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?$2.07Aug 19, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?$2.08Aug 19, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Elche CF end in a draw?$6.25Aug 17, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Elche CF end in a draw?$2.07Aug 17, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?$7.41Aug 16, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD end in a draw?$2.07Aug 15, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?$2.07Aug 15, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?$2.07Aug 15, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?$2.06Aug 15, 16:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$97.15Jul 19, 17:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
4% win rate over 28 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
28 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $12.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 09:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.