Same-Popularity
0xab3a33e034a8eccd2fbada676e5a32a94fd8b091
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
180
Open notional
$3.48
Total PnL
$-648.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 180- MINNESOTA LYNX
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-10.5)
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$2.48
$-0.02
- YES
Will Keith Mitchell win the 2026 3M Open?
52 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$1.01
$0.03
- YES
Will Russell Henley win The 2025 Open Championship?
842 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- CLEVELAND GUARDIANS
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians
728 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.94
- YES
Will Taylor Moore win the 2026 John Deere Classic?
230 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.99
- YES
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?
192 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 PGA Championship?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Alexander Noren win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?
100 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- COLTS
Spread: Colts (-6.5)
100 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-58.00
- YES
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 The Open Championship?
100 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Minnesota Lynx (-10.5)$2.50Jul 22, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keith Mitchell win the 2026 3M Open?$0.98Jul 22, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays$1.30Jul 21, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians$1.45Jul 21, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangers$5.02Jul 21, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEstoril Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Roman Andres Burruchaga$0.02Jul 21, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEstoril Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Roman Andres Burruchaga$0.03Jul 21, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEstoril Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Roman Andres Burruchaga$0.10Jul 21, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMEstoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacquet$10.00Jul 21, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEstoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacquet$0.90Jul 21, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEstoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacquet$1.86Jul 21, 15:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox$2.81Jul 20, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox$3.08Jul 20, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: New York Liberty (-4.5)$5.32Jul 20, 22:09 UTC
- REDEEMWinnipeg Blue Bombers vs. Ottawa Redblacks$39.99Jul 20, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWinnipeg Blue Bombers vs. Ottawa Redblacks$3.10Jul 20, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWinnipeg Blue Bombers vs. Ottawa Redblacks$21.60Jul 19, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays$1.25Jul 19, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lucas Herbert win the 2026 The Open Championship?$1.41Jul 19, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMToronto Argonauts vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats$5.00Jul 19, 02:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $2.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 02:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 15:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.