Fabulous-Sweat
0xab49428fc9dab173c67ffe9ee70d1d8c51d034e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$10.52
Total PnL
$851.15
Realised
$1.0K
Win rate
96%
50 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?
310 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.4¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$4.18
$-0.62
- YES
Will Mike Turitto win The Bachelorette Season 22?
368 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$1.65
$0.18
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?
187 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$-2.33
- YES
Will Wilyer Abreu win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?
20 shares @ 3.1¢·now 5.1¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$1.01
$0.39
- YES
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026?
35 shares @ 0.1¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.89
$0.86
- YES
Will the Anaheim Ducks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?
23 shares @ 2.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$0.50
$-0.08
- NO
Will Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
21 shares @ 3.2¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.35
$-0.33
- YES
Will the Chicago Blackhawks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?
71 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$0.25
$-0.11
- YES
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
90 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.14
$-0.50
- YES
Will Roma win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
21 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 30, 2027$0.12
$-1.15
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Wilyer Abreu win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?$0.96Jul 25, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wilyer Abreu win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?$0.32Jul 23, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melat Kiros win the CO-01 Democratic primary by 10–15%?$2.00Jul 9, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?$1.59Jul 7, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mike Turitto win The Bachelorette Season 22?$0.66Jul 5, 10:39 UTC
- REWARD$2.45Jul 4, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melat Kiros win the CO-01 Democratic primary by 10–15%?$1.29Jul 3, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melat Kiros win the CO-01 Democratic primary by 10–15%?$1.44Jul 3, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melat Kiros win the CO-01 Democratic primary by 10–15%?$0.35Jul 3, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melat Kiros win the CO-01 Democratic primary by 10–15%?$1.92Jul 3, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$0.34Jul 3, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$0.34Jul 3, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Mars be the third most streamed artist for 2026?$1.14Jul 3, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roma win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$1.27Jul 3, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austin Reaves play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?$0.40Jul 3, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$5.51Jul 3, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$2.42Jul 3, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$2.00Jul 2, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.98Jun 30, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.96Jun 25, 01:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
72/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
96% win rate over 50 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
50 closed markets, 96% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 16:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 13:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 50 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.