0xab4a90b3740e40a046577f27027c04a0a24dc6b6
0xab4a90b3740e40a046577f27027c04a0a24dc6b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$1.51
Total PnL
$-53.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Abstract token launch by January 31?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$1.51
$0.88
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the CDU/CSU win 35-40% of the vote in the German election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?
800 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the SPD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?
772 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-0.77
- YES
Will the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?
555 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-0.56
- YES
Will Sabrina Carpenter be named the Billboard Greatest artist of 2024?
400 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2024$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Jan van Aken be the next Chancellor of Germany?
222 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-0.22
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
165 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.00Mar 19, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.00Mar 19, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.00Mar 19, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.00Mar 19, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.00Mar 19, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.00Mar 19, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.00Mar 19, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon less than 250 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?$1.00Mar 18, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon less than 250 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?$1.00Mar 18, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$0.13Mar 18, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$1.00Mar 16, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$1.00Mar 15, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$1.00Mar 15, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?$0.71Mar 14, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?$1.00Mar 12, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.00Mar 12, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$2.10Mar 11, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win 35-40% of the vote in the German election?$0.91Mar 11, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win 35-40% of the vote in the German election?$0.09Mar 11, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$1.00Mar 10, 22:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 11:59 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 19, 17:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".