Zany-Modernist
0xab577f440b7bd1e41df3600b583dcb19aa231505
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will France win the 2024 Euros?
11 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Jayson Tatum 2024 NBA Finals MVP?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Ethereum all time high in Q2 2024?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will ETH hit $4k by Friday?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Dogecoin reach $0.50 in May?$8.02Jun 5, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dogecoin reach $0.50 in May?$8.00May 26, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia use a nuclear weapon in 2024?$21.73Jan 1, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia use a nuclear weapon in 2024?$21.45Dec 6, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate from another party win Arizona US Senate Election?$2.4KOct 31, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Arizona US Senate Election?$163.62Oct 31, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Arizona US Senate Election?$2.2KOct 31, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthony Richardson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$2.4KOct 31, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Richardson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$2.4KOct 31, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Biden announce resignation by July 31?$499.47Jul 20, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden announce resignation by July 31?$500.00Jul 20, 01:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?$76.77Jul 10, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?$80.00Jul 10, 06:00 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana all time high in Q3?$0.96Jul 10, 05:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$1.37Jul 10, 05:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Doug Burgum win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$1.89Jul 10, 05:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBiden drops out of presidential race?$2.90Jul 10, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMBiden drops out by July 4? $4.15Jul 10, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden drops out by July 4? $4.10Jul 4, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden drops out of presidential race?$4.00Jul 4, 09:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $323.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 01:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 09:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.