Unnatural-Mug
0xab59ea5a84ae34ae58c9ef6258d8552a127b668a
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$29.42
Total PnL
$-26.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
11 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$11.17
$0.17
- NO
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?
2 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$2.04
$0.04
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
1 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 13?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?
1 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
1 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Jan 15, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 4, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 27?$1.00Dec 27, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 26, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 13?$1.00Dec 10, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 8, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 6, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$1.00Dec 4, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Van Epps win TN-07 by 10–15%?$1.00Dec 3, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 2, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.00Dec 1, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 29, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?$1.00Nov 28, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan decreases interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 28, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill between 370 and 379 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?$1.00Nov 28, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October meeting?$1.00Nov 28, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Putin by October 31?$1.00Nov 28, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the most valuable company on October 31?$1.00Nov 28, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$1.01Nov 28, 05:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 10, 06:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 05:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".