Sure-Footed-Inventor
0xab5f7c051254b230f1647744e2154bab2831aab9
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-20.0K
Realised
$-500.30
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
21800 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- BRAZIL
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
9795 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-7.0K
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4800 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-211.20
- YES
Will Apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
3818 shares @ 36.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
2500 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- NO
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?
1800 shares @ 49.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-887.97
- NO
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
1300 shares @ 28.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-372.00
- NETHERLANDS
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
1200 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-708.00
- YES
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
1200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-600.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5AM ET
1000 shares @ 97.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-976.00
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$50.00Jul 9, 21:41 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.97Jul 9, 21:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 7, 00:10 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.95Jul 7, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$204.26Jul 6, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.4KJul 6, 17:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.32Jul 6, 00:12 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.81Jul 6, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance$7.0KJul 5, 16:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.37Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMParaguay vs. France: Team to Advance$2.0KJul 4, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYParaguay vs. France: Team to Advance$1.9KJul 4, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMCanada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance$6.9KJul 4, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance$5.0KJul 4, 16:51 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance$5.0KJul 4, 01:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.36Jul 4, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance$4.7KJul 3, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMAustralia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$0.00Jul 3, 21:14 UTC
- REDEEMAustralia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$200.00Jul 3, 21:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 02:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.