Harmful-Ratio
0xab63c68526f9006533e31cc2eb9398f9fbc0a60e
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$141.44
Total PnL
$-48.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?
141 shares @ 17.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$141.44
$116.44
- YES
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?
206 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Fluminense win the FIFA Club World Cup?
96 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DAN
Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?
96 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?
66 shares @ 75.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?
63 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent?
57 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US recession in 2025?
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US before August?
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $2500 on July 9?$25.32Sep 30, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$46.29Sep 30, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill George Simion win by over 18%?$119.05Sep 30, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$281.69Sep 30, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a hurricane make landfall in the US before August?$10.00Jul 8, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $2500 on July 9?$20.00Jul 6, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fluminense win the FIFA Club World Cup?$5.00Jul 6, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?$50.00Jul 6, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?$25.00Jul 6, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$10.00Jul 6, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$10.00Jul 6, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon register the America Party in 2025?$25.00Jul 6, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$20.00Jul 6, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent?$5.00Jun 2, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?$10.00Jun 2, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?$10.00Jun 2, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?$10.00Jun 2, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$200.00May 18, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Simion win by 0–6%?$158.65May 18, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win by 0–6%?$200.00May 18, 17:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $76.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 11:53 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 30, 12:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.