Polished-Webinar
0xab65028c5933b8527e30941e3322235c8f632427
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$4.74
Total PnL
$-74.44
Realised
$-32.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
3 shares @ 36.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$2.74
$1.74
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
149 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?
30 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
13 shares @ 47.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
8 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?
5 shares @ 44.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
3 shares @ 30.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
2 shares @ 46.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.50Nov 25, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$0.30Nov 25, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$1.65Nov 25, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?$4.00Nov 21, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$1.00Nov 8, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$5.21Nov 8, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?$2.54Nov 8, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 7?$0.06Nov 5, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.03Nov 5, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?$2.00Nov 4, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?$1.35Nov 4, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Oct 31, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?$1.00Oct 30, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$5.00Oct 30, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$5.00Oct 30, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?$10.00Oct 30, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$11.94Oct 30, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$2.57Oct 30, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Oct 30, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$2.00Oct 30, 10:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $8.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 17:57 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 25, 16:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.