Lumbering-Ring
0xab66b9a09149b8f631b0cc3ecab6345f36946c76
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$207.17
Total PnL
$-947.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
154 shares @ 66.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Oct 28, 2026$94.71
$-6.93
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
154 shares @ 19.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Oct 28, 2026$40.81
$11.55
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
154 shares @ 8.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Oct 28, 2026$16.17
$3.85
- YES
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?
20 shares @ 65.7¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$13.79
$0.65
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
154 shares @ 2.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Oct 28, 2026$7.01
$3.93
- YES
Meta (META) Q2 ad impression growth across Family of Apps 16%-19%?
15 shares @ 21.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$5.78
$2.63
- YES
Meta (META) Q2 ad impression growth across Family of Apps 13%-16%?
15 shares @ 21.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$5.25
$2.10
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
308 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Oct 28, 2026$4.16
$1.08
- YES
Meta (META) Q2 ad impression growth across Family of Apps 19%-22%?
15 shares @ 19.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$3.45
$0.60
- YES
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?
20 shares @ 19.4¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.22
$-0.66
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 22?$3.66Jul 22, 03:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-21?$2.65Jul 21, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-21?$2.66Jul 21, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill IFK Göteborg win on 2026-07-21?$4.95Jul 21, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IFK Göteborg win on 2026-07-21?$5.28Jul 21, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 22?$4.99Jul 21, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$0.88Jul 21, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarbucks (SBUX) Q3 global comparable store sales growth 3%-5%?$0.68Jul 21, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarbucks (SBUX) Q3 global comparable store sales growth 7%-9%?$3.36Jul 21, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarbucks (SBUX) Q3 global comparable store sales growth 5%-7%?$2.18Jul 21, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 21?$0.01Jul 21, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 21?$0.01Jul 21, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 22?$4.96Jul 21, 02:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 20?$6.20Jul 20, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 20?$5.29Jul 20, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMCleveland Guardians winning after 5 innings?$0.00Jul 19, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLPittsburgh Pirates winning after 5 innings?$7.33Jul 19, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYPittsburgh Pirates winning after 5 innings?$3.54Jul 19, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians winning after 5 innings?$3.38Jul 19, 16:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $6.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 12:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 03:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.