Attractive-Geography
0xab6a51eb48c04a908382bc5a0efa108a0e466948
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$15.28
Total PnL
$-29.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Netanyahu out by July 31?
13 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$13.28
$-0.02
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
400 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.00
$0.40
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 13?
835 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.67
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 17?
407 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on March 23?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?
247 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
240 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will Countdown App be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?
194 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
100 shares @ 21.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-21.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by July 31?$13.30Jul 18, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$1.60Jul 18, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3?$74.07Jun 3, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3?$74.01Jun 3, 11:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$74.07Jun 2, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$74.00Jun 2, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?$74.07May 23, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?$74.00May 22, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$74.15May 19, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$74.01May 19, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$66.07May 16, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$66.00May 15, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?$74.07May 15, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?$74.00May 8, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 6?$74.15May 8, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 6?$74.00May 6, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?$1.00May 6, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$74.07May 6, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?$1.00May 4, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$74.00May 3, 06:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $58.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 11:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 08:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.