Naive-Floodplain
0xab73b47e6fb5b468a82d143b86c53363fff2d8e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$18.56
Total PnL
$-727.33
Realised
$-141.57
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
222 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.56
$-1.44
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
2833 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?
498 shares @ 44.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-220.00
- NO
Will Iran strike Jordan in March?
431 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-81.00
- NO
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 24, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?
290 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-52.00
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
148 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
111 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
101 shares @ 60.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-61.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 10?$20.00Jun 10, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 10?$200.00Jun 10, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$215.93Jun 10, 21:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$100.00Jun 9, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$93.28Jun 9, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$198.13Jun 9, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$220.00Jun 9, 08:25 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$212.92Jun 9, 00:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$190.00Jun 8, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$17.14Jun 8, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?$36.15Jun 8, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$23.62Jun 8, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$62.01Jun 8, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by June 30?$11.05Jun 8, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?$15.67Jun 8, 11:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $84.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 19:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.