0xab808c7843f0aa810d998ec14b7b81b7d010af18
0xab808c7843f0aa810d998ec14b7b81b7d010af18
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$306.42
Total PnL
$-491.54
Realised
$-13.57
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in July?
146 shares @ 89.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$143.59
$13.65
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
57 shares @ 83.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$52.73
$5.42
- NO
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
57 shares @ 61.5¢·now 77.9¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$44.40
$9.35
- YES
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in July?
320 shares @ 14.7¢·now 9.9¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$31.68
$-15.48
- YES
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?
100 shares @ 21.5¢·now 19.1¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$19.10
$-2.40
- NO
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?
35 shares @ 35.4¢·now 41.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$14.53
$2.13
- YES
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 25m?
2 shares @ 15.0¢·now 25.3¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.40
$0.16
- YES
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?
1357 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-66.54
- YES
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?
935 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-168.06
- YES
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 74m?
545 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-54.40
Recent activity
- REWARD$5.91Aug 7, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?$99.90Aug 7, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUY0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?$21.50Aug 5, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$47.31Aug 5, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$0.96Aug 4, 21:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$100.00Aug 4, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?$71.05Aug 4, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?$100.00Aug 4, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in July?$25.47Aug 3, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in July?$8.53Aug 3, 03:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in July?$17.91Aug 3, 03:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in July?$24.79Aug 3, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?$14.70Aug 2, 18:39 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?$66.50Aug 2, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?$63.06Aug 2, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be at least 55.0 in July?$146.00Aug 1, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in July?$43.00Aug 1, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Core PCE MoM be 0.1% in June?$36.30Jul 31, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Core PCE YoY be 3.5% in June?$69.61Jul 31, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?$110.00Jul 31, 06:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $37.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 06:03 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 20:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.