Likely-Air
0xab8a11c0389a21936e526805ee535566f2d1693a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$14.94
Total PnL
$-160.14
Realised
$-2.15
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 6AM ET
8 shares @ 93.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$8.36
$0.57
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 6AM ET
7 shares @ 88.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$6.58
$0.77
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on August 13 at 5PM ET?
3074 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-7.97
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3500 on July 26 at 5PM ET?
2160 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.16
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - January 6, 6AM ET
797 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-93.56
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $114K on July 26 at 5PM ET?
765 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2025$0.00
$-10.93
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
18 shares @ 34.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.24
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
18 shares @ 35.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.36
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 6AM ET
17 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-0.02
- NO
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
14 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-7.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 6, 6AM ET$0.05Jan 6, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 6AM ET$0.02Jan 6, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 6, 6AM ET$0.09Jan 6, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 6, 6AM ET$0.09Jan 6, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 6, 6AM ET$0.08Jan 6, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 6, 6AM ET$0.08Jan 6, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 6, 6AM ET$0.08Jan 6, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 6, 6AM ET$0.08Jan 6, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 6, 6AM ET$0.08Jan 6, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 6, 6AM ET$0.11Jan 6, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 6, 6AM ET$0.11Jan 6, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 6, 6AM ET$1.98Jan 6, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 6, 6AM ET$0.54Jan 6, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 6, 6AM ET$0.58Jan 6, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 6, 6AM ET$0.58Jan 6, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 6, 6AM ET$0.73Jan 6, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 6, 6AM ET$0.73Jan 6, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 6, 6AM ET$0.64Jan 6, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 6, 6AM ET$0.63Jan 6, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 6, 6AM ET$0.68Jan 6, 11:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 11:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 6, 12:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".