Curvy-Note
0xab8dfcff6540b6179faa4e30a8afa7998a4c878c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-186.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Iran Strike on Israel by March 31?
2415 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?
530 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
357 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?
278 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31?
208 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Curfew in Minneapolis-Saint Paul by Friday?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
165 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-38.00
- YES
Will anyone charged over daycare fraud in MN be deported by March 31?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
110 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-12.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?$5.00Mar 1, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Strike on Israel by March 31?$5.00Mar 1, 00:08 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$133.63Mar 1, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$38.00Jan 31, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Khamenei out by February over 30% in January?$2.00Jan 31, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?$12.13Jan 31, 17:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 1AM ET$0.00Jan 31, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 1AM ET$2.00Jan 31, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 1AM ET$5.00Jan 31, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 1AM ET$20.00Jan 31, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 1AM ET$20.00Jan 31, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10PM ET$0.00Jan 31, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10PM ET$3.00Jan 29, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10PM ET$10.00Jan 29, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10PM ET$13.87Jan 29, 03:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$44.80Jan 29, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?$0.00Jan 29, 01:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$41.20Jan 29, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?$16.56Jan 29, 00:47 UTC
- REDEEMWas Ilhan Omar sprayed with vinegar?$0.00Jan 29, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $20.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 19:46 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".