Burdensome-Chem
0xab91ee056c28def1a7b896b3fbea80bce7faf763
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?
1267 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-3.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
1150 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
583 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.75
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- HEAT
Heat vs. Magic
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 3?$91.09Jun 3, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 3?$91.01Jun 3, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?$91.18May 27, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?$91.01May 26, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?$91.09May 22, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?$91.01May 22, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?$91.09May 20, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?$91.01May 19, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?$91.09May 11, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?$91.01May 10, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 7?$90.09May 10, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 7?$90.00May 7, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 5?$90.09May 7, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 5?$90.00May 3, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?$90.09May 3, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?$90.01May 2, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 April 20-26?$90.08May 2, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 April 20-26?$90.00Apr 24, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 22?$90.08Apr 24, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 22?$90.00Apr 21, 11:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $74.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 11:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 18:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.