Trustworthy-Percentage
0xab9b0ad04f997ce753a91a4397c634c46eec8545
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$49.91
Total PnL
$-330.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 6?
29 shares @ 50.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$28.06
$13.62
- ATLANTA DREAM
Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo
25 shares @ 50.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$16.85
$4.55
- FLORIDA SMASH
MLP San Diego: Orlando Squeeze vs Florida Smash
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - November 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
81 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-41.36
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
78 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-39.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
65 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-33.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
59 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - December 21, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
57 shares @ 50.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-29.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
55 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-28.00
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 29 be less than 2,600,000?
26 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMLP San Diego: Orlando Squeeze vs Florida Smash$5.13Jul 14, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMDallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo$17.10Jul 11, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream$11.02Jul 11, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo$12.48Jul 9, 03:07 UTC
- REDEEMCanada vs. Jamaica$24.10Jul 7, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYDallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo$8.68Jul 7, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYKBO: Kia Tigers vs. Lotte Giants$10.91Jul 4, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMUganda vs. Angola$27.10Jul 2, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Jamaica$12.23Jul 1, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUganda vs. Angola$13.75Jun 29, 02:04 UTC
- REDEEMPhoenix Mercury vs. Toronto Tempo$12.10Jun 27, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees$11.30Jun 26, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMKBO: NC Dinos vs. Lotte Giants$25.10Jun 24, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhoenix Mercury vs. Toronto Tempo$6.05Jun 24, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYKBO: NC Dinos vs. Lotte Giants$12.74Jun 22, 01:41 UTC
- REDEEMKBO: Samsung Lions vs. Hanwha Eagles$12.55Jun 20, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYKBO: Samsung Lions vs. Hanwha Eagles$6.50Jun 18, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYKBO: Samsung Lions vs. Hanwha Eagles$6.05Jun 18, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMLP St. Petersburg: Palm Beach Royals vs Columbus Sliders$10.56Jun 15, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMMLP Austin: New Jersey 5s vs Florida Smash$21.40Jun 12, 23:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $9.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 05:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 02:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.