Infantile-Outfielder
0xabb7a85ed4f03c251583499b0ec7358329acdf91
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-816.77
Win rate
3%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 21?
93 shares @ 75.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$92.95
$22.89
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 22?
120 shares @ 67.2¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$92.02
$11.69
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?
102 shares @ 81.7¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$89.02
$5.43
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 22?
111 shares @ 61.3¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$70.62
$2.44
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 22?
74 shares @ 83.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$65.22
$4.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 22?
78 shares @ 75.2¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$61.88
$3.32
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 21?
59 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$59.44
$9.48
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 22?
89 shares @ 66.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$57.27
$-1.29
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 22?
65 shares @ 83.5¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$54.78
$0.26
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 22?
63 shares @ 64.3¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$52.65
$12.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$4.91Jun 22, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$5.00Jun 22, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 22?$1.04Jun 22, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 22?$1.03Jun 22, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 22?$5.18Jun 22, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 22?$1.04Jun 22, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$4.97Jun 22, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 22?$3.13Jun 22, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 22?$1.05Jun 22, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 22?$1.12Jun 22, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 22?$3.25Jun 22, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 22?$1.01Jun 22, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 22?$1.03Jun 22, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 22?$1.03Jun 22, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 22?$3.22Jun 22, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 22?$1.06Jun 22, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 22?$1.03Jun 22, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 22?$1.03Jun 22, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 22?$1.02Jun 22, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 22?$5.03Jun 22, 05:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
60/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 36 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
36 closed markets, 3% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 05:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 06:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.