Real-Flesh
0xabbeb2bdd30ba5c51cb14168b068103961648f37
Quality score
91/100
Open positions
11
Open notional
$5.4K
Total PnL
$131.27
Realised
$-13.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
2294 shares @ 74.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.9K
$253.16
- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
879 shares @ 71.3¢·now 91.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$803.91
$177.71
- NO
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
770 shares @ 88.9¢·now 93.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$719.78
$34.96
- YES
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?
692 shares @ 76.1¢·now 83.5¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$578.04
$51.01
- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
785 shares @ 48.7¢·now 60.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$474.77
$92.67
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
663 shares @ 54.1¢·now 34.5¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$228.68
$-130.20
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
436 shares @ 44.9¢·now 48.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$211.30
$15.71
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
669 shares @ 44.9¢·now 23.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$157.17
$-142.83
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
547 shares @ 56.9¢·now 27.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$150.31
$-160.72
- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
250 shares @ 40.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$88.75
$-11.25
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.024h ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$0.009h ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?$32.4115h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6AM ET$32.4017h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6AM ET$31.5018h ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?$99.7719h ago
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$100.0020h ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$125.6820h ago
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$55.9221h ago
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$49.6721h ago
- REDEEMGPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?$0.0021h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$431.791d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$100.001d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$300.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$200.001d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?$11.871d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?$1.0K1d ago
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?$29.932d ago
- TRADESELLWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$29.942d ago
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$684.822d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $291.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 3d ago
- Last active
- 4h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.