0xabc14c4c797ef742480316ad688b18df6cae47be
0xabc14c4c797ef742480316ad688b18df6cae47be
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$243.56
Total PnL
$59.69
Realised
$24.24
Win rate
83%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on February 25?
20 shares @ 77.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$19.80
$4.49
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on February 27?
13 shares @ 66.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$12.88
$4.31
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 25?
12 shares @ 54.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$11.90
$5.39
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on February 26?
11 shares @ 58.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$11.19
$4.69
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 2?
11 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$10.89
$2.83
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on February 25?
11 shares @ 65.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$10.50
$3.63
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on February 25?
9 shares @ 89.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$9.22
$0.98
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 26?
9 shares @ 69.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$9.08
$2.80
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 1?
9 shares @ 70.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$9.01
$2.68
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on February 26?
9 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$8.95
$2.42
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 5?$1.46Mar 4, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 4?$10.30Mar 4, 12:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on February 26?$0.00Mar 4, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 2?$0.00Mar 4, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on February 26?$0.00Mar 4, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 1?$0.00Mar 4, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on February 27?$0.00Mar 4, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 27?$0.00Mar 4, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 2?$0.00Mar 4, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 25?$0.00Mar 4, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 26?$0.00Mar 4, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 3?$0.00Mar 4, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 3?$0.00Mar 4, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 1?$0.00Mar 4, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 27?$0.00Mar 4, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 3?$0.00Mar 4, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 1?$0.00Mar 4, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 2?$0.00Mar 4, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 2?$0.00Mar 4, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 1?$0.00Mar 4, 12:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
75/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 36 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
36 closed markets, 83% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $5.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 05:40 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 4, 12:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.