Annual-Dollar
0xabcc3011863081254ed636a599dfcfeafc03d148
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-182.20
Realised
$32.08
Win rate
8%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 1?
193 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 17?
113 shares @ 88.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 4?
97 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 2?
23 shares @ 43.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 7?
19 shares @ 52.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 23?
15 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 4?
13 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 9?
8 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 4?
7 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 27?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 17?$100.59Jul 17, 05:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 9?$2.43Jul 9, 05:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?$5.25Jul 9, 05:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?$9.15Jul 9, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 9?$3.80Jul 9, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 9?$3.04Jul 9, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 9?$0.76Jul 9, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 9?$8.04Jul 9, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 9?$1.33Jul 9, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?$102.60Jul 9, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 8?$216.25Jul 8, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 8?$200.78Jul 8, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 8?$109.23Jul 8, 04:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 8?$0.06Jul 8, 04:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 8?$4.44Jul 8, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 8?$5.18Jul 8, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 8?$2.08Jul 8, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 8?$100.43Jul 8, 02:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?$26.21Jul 7, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?$10.32Jul 7, 05:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
8% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $52.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 02:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 05:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.