Ironclad-Hesitation
0xabccae2ed3d55470800ac447ad79541c20b3edca
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$69.18
Total PnL
$0.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
23 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$22.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Microsoft have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
10 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.33
$0.04
- NO
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
10 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$10.10
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on June 5?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$10.05
$0.01
- NO
Will Amazon have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.99
$0.00
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?
2 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.58
$0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$1.34
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 5?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$1.25
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 5?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$1.24
$0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$1.21
$0.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?$10.29Jun 5, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?$4.99Jun 5, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.00Jun 5, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Instants, an Instagram app be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?$1.01Jun 5, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?$1.56Jun 5, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?$10.00Jun 5, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$23.01Jun 5, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on June 5?$10.04Jun 5, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?$1.34Jun 5, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 5?$1.07Jun 5, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 5?$1.02Jun 5, 08:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $16.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 15, 12:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.