Spectacular-Area
0xabcf6e78a9c24a4d4cc261341afe500a594a17b7
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
66
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-375.70
Realised
$-53.69
Win rate
2%
65 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- NO
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
320 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-25.20
- BIRMINGHAM PHOENIX
The Hundred, Women: Southern Brave vs Birmingham Phoenix
94 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$0.00
$-24.49
- SOUTH AFRICA
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs South Africa
83 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DELHI CAPITALS
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Riders
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on May 27?
57 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-13.46
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 28?
53 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- MANCHESTER SUPER GIANTS
The Hundred, Women: Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rockets
49 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.92
- UP
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on July 8?
46 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- GALLE GALLANTS
T20 Lanka Premier League: Kandy Royals vs Galle Gallants
40 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- KOLKATA KNIGHT RIDERS
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Riders
34 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-14.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCaribbean Premier League: Jamaica Kingsmen vs Barbados Tridents$5.57Aug 12, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYECS England: East Londoners vs Comilla Warriors (ENG)$1.68Aug 4, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 4?$1.68Aug 4, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 4?$5.51Aug 4, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYThe Hundred: Welsh Fire vs Southern Brave$6.21Aug 3, 17:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 1PM ET$5.62Aug 3, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 1PM ET$4.11Aug 3, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLThe Hundred, Women: Welsh Fire vs Southern Brave$4.75Aug 3, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYThe Hundred, Women: Welsh Fire vs Southern Brave$2.75Aug 3, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down on August 3?$2.75Aug 3, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on August 3?$1.26Aug 3, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 3?$1.23Aug 3, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 3?$5.61Aug 3, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYThe Hundred, Women: Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rockets$4.10Jul 31, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 31?$4.10Jul 31, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 31?$5.08Jul 31, 16:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $83 on July 31?$5.07Jul 31, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $83 on July 31?$7.58Jul 31, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 31?$7.60Jul 31, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 31?$4.88Jul 31, 12:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 65 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
65 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $11.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 12:44 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 01:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 65 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.