Good-Liar
0xabcfc95917ca00af0311422d322aa02d4106fe15
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-118.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 25, 2026?
176 shares @ 58.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-102.71
- NO
Will "Elon" or "Musk" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 18)
126 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- NO
Will "Alien" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 18)
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will "Crazy" be said 15+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 25)
6 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 25, 2026?$102.71Jan 24, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 23, 2026?$102.71Jan 24, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 23, 2026?$55.13Jan 22, 02:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$55.09Jan 22, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Crazy" be said 15+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 25)$1.80Jan 18, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$1.78Jan 18, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$1.80Jan 18, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$49.00Jan 18, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?$50.85Jan 18, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$1.50Jan 14, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?$30.00Jan 14, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$21.53Jan 14, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Conspiracy" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 18)$9.09Jan 13, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Elon" or "Musk" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 18)$9.00Jan 13, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Alien" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 18)$5.00Jan 13, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Conspiracy" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 18)$5.00Jan 13, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$20.00Jan 13, 17:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $31.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 17:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 24, 02:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.