Busy-Cockpit
0xabd15f02b5d6ef28c5856e8c7df33ee666415caf
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-65.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 1?
224 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.02
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on August 6?
222 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.71
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 4?
199 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.79
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 31?
185 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 31?
183 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.66
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on January 22?
147 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.26
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 22?
114 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.76
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on January 24?
106 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.34
- UP
Solana Up or Down on January 24?
91 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.54
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 10, 2PM ET
89 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on August 6?$1.83Aug 5, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 4?$1.91Aug 3, 22:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 25?$118.71Jun 25, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 25?$115.03Jun 24, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?$2.26Jun 3, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 1?$2.16Jun 1, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 26?$2.42May 26, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 24?$110.72May 24, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 24?$0.22May 23, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 24?$108.29May 23, 17:12 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 2, 6PM ET$26.41May 16, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 10?$1.40May 9, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on April 14?$94.11May 9, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 16?$0.00May 2, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on January 30?$0.00Apr 25, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 18?$1.30Apr 18, 02:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in March 2026?$0.00Apr 18, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 16?$2.39Apr 16, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 15?$1.91Apr 15, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on April 14?$0.11Apr 13, 19:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $31.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 11:58 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 5, 17:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.