Thick-Quota
0xabe979e2c1e2815c8168c406adb4cb95258c00b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-36.76
Realised
$-0.83
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of February?
3500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will China win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
600 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
231 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
157 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$1.00Apr 7, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?$1.00Apr 7, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?$1.00Apr 7, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 7, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$1.00Apr 7, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$1.00Apr 7, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 28, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?$0.17Mar 28, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by March 31?$6.00Mar 28, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 9, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 8, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$2.00Mar 8, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$2.00Mar 8, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 8, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 8, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$0.00Mar 1, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$3.00Feb 16, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?$0.00Feb 16, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?$0.00Feb 16, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?$0.00Feb 16, 08:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 12:31 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 13:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.