Red-Nucleotide
0xabee93782d63309c648c0199ac385f99f8674dff
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$2.15
Total PnL
$-284.20
Realised
$-2.27
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on August 10?
98 shares @ 3.6¢·now 2.2¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$2.15
$-1.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 2?
223 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.56
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 22?
221 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 25?
208 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.66
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on March 4?
190 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.32
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 29?
180 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?
150 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?
141 shares @ 97.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-138.46
- NO
Will Greg Abbott win the 2026 Texas Governor Republican primary election?
141 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.82
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - January 26, 6PM ET
132 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.61
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on August 10?$3.76Aug 9, 19:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 21-27?$49.15Jul 28, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 21-27?$46.20Jul 27, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on July 7?$42.82Jul 7, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on July 7?$39.35Jul 7, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on July 7?$2.55Jul 7, 00:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $1.40 May 25-31?$43.04Jun 1, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.40 May 25-31?$40.07May 31, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 24?$2.14May 24, 01:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 22?$38.80May 22, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 22?$0.08May 21, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 22?$36.90May 21, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?$138.46May 17, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 8?$2.71May 7, 17:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 1?$38.61May 7, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 28, 1AM ET$3.86Apr 28, 05:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 27?$122.88Apr 27, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 27?$0.21Apr 27, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 27?$120.83Apr 27, 01:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.40 on April 18?$133.75Apr 27, 01:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $39.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 21:04 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 9, 19:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.