Impractical-Pitcher
0xabf2d63d24aade1694232156c567e28b9cae1ed8
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
168
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.4K
Realised
$-195.44
Win rate
38%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 168- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
3487 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-98.62
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
2752 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-49.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
2247 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-299.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
2037 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-409.56
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
2027 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
1623 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-377.84
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
1592 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-274.60
- YES
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-21?
1514 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-105.96
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
1476 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-236.76
- YES
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-25?
1440 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-241.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$75.00Apr 25, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$25.00Apr 25, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-25?$251.00Apr 25, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$158.48Apr 25, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$81.00Apr 25, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$33.58Apr 25, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$30.00Apr 25, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$16.38Apr 25, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$92.16Apr 25, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$90.00Apr 25, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$0.00Apr 25, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$90.00Apr 25, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$10.00Apr 24, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$100.00Apr 24, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-24?$66.00Apr 24, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-25?$272.86Apr 24, 20:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$0.00Apr 23, 04:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$0.00Apr 23, 04:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$0.00Apr 23, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-25?$300.00Apr 22, 21:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
38% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $121.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 22:17 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 09:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.