Formal-Importance
0xabf3f040cd345f7097efa4e033143e06175f4807
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$250.87
Total PnL
$0.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 14?$253.54Jul 14, 00:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?$258.75Jul 13, 23:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?$237.73Jul 13, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?$254.63Jul 13, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 13?$281.64Jul 13, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 13?$254.06Jul 12, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 12?$270.49Jul 12, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 12?$253.57Jul 12, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$183.49Jul 10, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$0.00Jul 10, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$10.40Jul 10, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4PM ET$9.47Jul 10, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4PM ET$10.37Jul 10, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$103.27Jul 10, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?$252.50Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$267.98Jul 10, 00:07 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 9, 21:43 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.29Jul 9, 21:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 8?$0.00Jul 9, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$255.24Jul 8, 23:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $164.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 21:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 00:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.