Gruesome-Invasion
0xabfc9f238883271809b0b366d4d7a29f8985a646
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$63.27
Total PnL
$6.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.00
$20.00
- YES
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
16 shares @ 31.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$15.67
$10.67
- NO
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
13 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$13.33
$3.33
- NO
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
5 shares @ 76.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.19
$1.19
- YES
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.75
$-1.25
- YES
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.32
$-4.68
- NO
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
336 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will India strike Pakistan by March 31?
65 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?
32 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?
12 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill India strike Pakistan by March 31?$5.00Jan 4, 13:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?$2.09Jan 4, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days?$2.17Jan 4, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?$2.90Jan 4, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$3.03Jan 4, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation by December 31?$5.00Jan 3, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 3, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?$5.00Jan 3, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Japan military clash before 2027?$5.00Jan 3, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$5.00Jan 3, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYMamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?$4.00Jan 3, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?$10.00Jan 3, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$1.00Jan 21, 00:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?$0.00Jan 21, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?$0.00Jan 21, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "drill baby drill" during his inauguration speech?$0.00Jan 21, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?$0.00Jan 21, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden finish his term?$0.00Jan 21, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?$1.19Jan 21, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "drill baby drill" during his inauguration speech?$5.88Jan 21, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $3.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 19, 05:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 4, 13:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.