Probable-District
0xac023ded118944c95acbd439ed45c7a615278aec
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$88.51
Total PnL
$-857.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
139 shares @ 0.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$88.51
$88.51
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
213 shares @ 80.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-171.09
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
150 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-120.26
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
129 shares @ 62.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-81.34
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
99 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-17.69
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
99 shares @ 52.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-51.69
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
92 shares @ 47.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-44.24
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
79 shares @ 72.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-57.77
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
79 shares @ 45.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-36.27
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
58 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-14.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$39.00May 21, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$36.00May 21, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$33.00May 21, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$30.00May 21, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$61.85May 21, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$12.77May 21, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$7.54May 21, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$6.46May 21, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$11.33May 21, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$9.83May 21, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$10.92May 21, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$21.21May 21, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$33.33May 21, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$12.01May 21, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$11.01May 21, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$10.01May 21, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$33.33May 21, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$4.87May 21, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$6.03May 21, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$1.10May 21, 06:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $14.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 04:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 06:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".