Defenseless-Gladiolus
0xac166bdebc6c984009a5b6a4d6a3cfc14d3892e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$270.89
Total PnL
$-292.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
56 shares @ 71.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$50.14
$10.14
- NO
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?
41 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$41.29
$1.29
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
29 shares @ 70.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$28.34
$8.34
- NO
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
25 shares @ 78.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$25.45
$5.45
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
23 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$22.73
$2.73
- NO
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?
23 shares @ 87.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$22.67
$2.67
- YES
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
22 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$21.74
$1.74
- NO
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
21 shares @ 94.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$21.12
$1.12
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?
14 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$13.51
$3.51
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?
12 shares @ 80.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$12.37
$2.37
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$70.00Mar 8, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?$20.00Mar 8, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?$10.00Mar 8, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?$10.00Mar 8, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$10.00Mar 8, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$20.00Mar 8, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$20.00Mar 8, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?$20.00Mar 8, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$20.00Mar 8, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$20.00Mar 8, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$100.00Mar 8, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?$20.00Mar 8, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 110-119 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?$21.21Mar 8, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?$21.41Mar 8, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Toretske by January 15?$21.98Mar 8, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?$22.84Mar 8, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?$40.90Mar 8, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15?$42.11Mar 8, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$47.87Mar 8, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$61.98Mar 8, 19:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $29.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 26, 20:39 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 8, 19:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".