Lovely-Infancy
0xac190534ff01c139bf4fb34f0356fb6a1cabc3ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-79.33
Win rate
0%
40 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5551 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-24.48
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-18?
190 shares @ 52.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score
167 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score
110 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- YES
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
93 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals
88 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score
86 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-50.96
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
86 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-01?
86 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.55
- OVER
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5
76 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$0.00Aug 16, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$5.94Aug 16, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$5.17Aug 16, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$4.99Aug 16, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$5.06Aug 16, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$2.06Aug 16, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$0.00Aug 16, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$5.00Aug 16, 21:36 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$5.00Aug 16, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$1.82Aug 16, 21:31 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$5.00Aug 16, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$0.00Aug 16, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$5.43Aug 16, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$5.03Aug 16, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$3.45Aug 16, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$3.17Aug 16, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$0.00Aug 16, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$5.00Aug 16, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$5.00Aug 16, 20:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$0.00Aug 16, 20:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
64/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 40 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
40 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $25.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 14:30 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 21:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 40 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.