Sturdy-Diffuse
0xac1fea161a2c092cb197d68a2d56757166d5cf6a
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$70.63
Total PnL
$-25.89
Realised
$-0.48
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?
22 shares @ 45.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$8.27
$-1.73
- T1
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
7 shares @ 73.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 28, 2026$5.17
$0.17
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.16
$0.16
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
5 shares @ 97.4¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.11
$0.11
- NO
Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.89
$-0.11
- NO
Will Hong Kong have 240mm or more of precipitation in May?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.36
$-0.64
- YES
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by June 30?
22 shares @ 22.1¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$4.21
$-0.69
- YES
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be less than 70%?
47 shares @ 10.7¢·now 6.7¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$3.10
$-1.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 28?
37 shares @ 8.1¢·now 8.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$2.96
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 28?$1.05May 28, 08:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 29?$1.34May 28, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winner$1.02May 28, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have 240mm or more of precipitation in May?$1.04May 28, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C or higher on May 27?$0.00May 28, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 28?$1.05May 28, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on May 29?$1.57May 28, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 28?$1.13May 28, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP dip to $1.20 in May?$0.99May 28, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on May 28?$0.41May 28, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hong Kong have between 210-220mm of precipitation in May?$1.18May 28, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$0.97May 28, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$1.80May 27, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 29?$1.30May 27, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?$1.04May 27, 20:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on May 27?$3.00May 27, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on May 29?$1.05May 27, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$0.27May 27, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 28?$1.05May 27, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 28?$1.05May 27, 17:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 19:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 08:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".