Polished-Pasture
0xac2223502b43845dea344006cf14757913350ba2
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$56.05
Total PnL
$-0.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
38 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$37.69
$0.45
- NO
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?
3 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$2.86
$0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?
2 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$2.15
$0.02
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$2.15
$0.02
- NO
Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$2.12
$0.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?
2 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$2.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?
1 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$1.44
$0.03
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$1.42
$0.01
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.41
$0.00
- NO
Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.41
$0.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.66Nov 13, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?$2.85Nov 7, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.34Nov 7, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.41Nov 7, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.41Nov 7, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mistral have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?$2.12Nov 7, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?$1.41Nov 7, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?$2.00Nov 7, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?$1.41Nov 7, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?$2.13Nov 7, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?$2.13Nov 7, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.00Nov 7, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alexander Albon finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?$1.00Nov 7, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lewis Hamilton finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?$1.15Nov 7, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lando Norris finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?$1.20Nov 7, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Isack Hadjar finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?$1.25Nov 7, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gabriel Bortoleto finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?$1.33Nov 7, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Esteban Ocon finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?$1.33Nov 7, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alexander Albon finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?$1.35Nov 7, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Sainz Jr. finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?$1.37Nov 7, 07:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $5.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 4, 06:04 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 13, 13:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".