Harmonious-Tachometer
0xac224c489833f0e86230a45fc231d7a89b09363e
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
108
Open notional
$754.36
Total PnL
$-598.22
Realised
$-3.03
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 108- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on July 15?
115 shares @ 30.5¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$36.10
$1.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 14?
161 shares @ 16.3¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$35.41
$9.24
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 15?
57 shares @ 61.6¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$34.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 14?
35 shares @ 93.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$34.47
$2.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 15?
202 shares @ 17.3¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$34.28
$-0.71
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 16?
36 shares @ 96.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$34.27
$-0.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 14?
137 shares @ 24.8¢·now 25.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$34.14
$0.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 14?
35 shares @ 96.0¢·now 91.8¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$32.53
$-1.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 14?
93 shares @ 35.2¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$30.07
$-2.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 14?
56 shares @ 46.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$27.71
$1.96
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 14?$2.40Jul 14, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 16?$35.07Jul 14, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 14?$15.24Jul 14, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 14?$7.40Jul 14, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or higher on July 15?$4.20Jul 14, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 43°C on July 14?$4.62Jul 14, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 14?$0.31Jul 14, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 15?$35.67Jul 14, 04:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 14?$20.38Jul 14, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 14?$1.05Jul 14, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 14?$34.06Jul 14, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 15?$2.87Jul 14, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 15?$11.38Jul 14, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 15?$22.74Jul 14, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 14?$2.83Jul 14, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 14?$35.13Jul 14, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 14?$0.60Jul 14, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 14?$6.90Jul 14, 04:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 15?$1.95Jul 14, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 14?$12.81Jul 14, 04:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 03:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 04:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.