Another-Laborer
0xac22afdde6affdeb1d1a4d1b92a6344512565442
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$545.37
Total PnL
$-19.3K
Realised
$16.9K
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
5454 shares @ 47.7¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$545.37
$-2.1K
- NO
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
51278 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.5K
- YES
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?
37615 shares @ 32.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.4K
- YES
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?
35916 shares @ 26.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.4K
- YES
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 31?
23586 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-302.81
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025?
16752 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-861.06
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
11330 shares @ 41.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-4.7K
- NO
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?
8994 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2025$0.00
$-71.95
- YES
Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30?
5910 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-662.15
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
2943 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-235.46
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 9, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 8, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 3, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.