Sweltering-Transplantation
0xac280d492766c174868e68467e08e891f072111f
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$87.64
Total PnL
$-18.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
66 shares @ 50.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$58.41
$25.41
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
16 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$16.00
$8.00
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
66 shares @ 50.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.59
$-25.41
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C or below on June 7?
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.10
$0.02
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
14 shares @ 6.3¢·now 2.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.32
$-0.57
- YES
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
38 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.23
$-0.38
- PREDATORS
Predators vs. Lightning
42 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-15.54
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?
36 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
16 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 24?
13 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C or below on June 7?$5.08Jun 6, 12:27 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$16.00Jun 6, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$0.81Jun 6, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 67°F or below on May 28?$5.80Jun 5, 03:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 27?$16.00Jun 5, 03:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$54.00Jun 5, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 67°F or below on May 28?$5.77May 27, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 27?$15.90May 27, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 25?$8.00May 27, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$11.00May 27, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.61May 24, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 25?$7.93May 23, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 24?$0.20May 23, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$9.46May 19, 16:02 UTC
- SPLITStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$66.00May 15, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$0.32May 15, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$0.40May 15, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$38.00May 15, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.88May 13, 12:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 53°F or below on May 13?$8.00May 13, 10:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $11.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 09:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 12:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.