Orderly-Tiara
0xac283581271058f919d71aa346f2fb683fb1c729
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
106
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-312.72
Realised
$49.82
Win rate
81%
48 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 106- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
145 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Will "The Rip" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
138 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3PM ET
136 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?
127 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
122 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?
111 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
110 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
105 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will "Tyler Perry's Joe's College Road Trip" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
102 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$0.41Mar 9, 01:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$0.32Mar 9, 01:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$1.57Mar 9, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$1.00Mar 9, 01:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$1.11Mar 9, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$1.00Mar 9, 01:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$1.10Mar 9, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$2.00Mar 9, 01:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$1.12Mar 9, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$1.00Mar 9, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$1.00Mar 9, 01:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$0.66Mar 2, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.00Mar 2, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$2.00Mar 2, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.03Mar 2, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.00Mar 2, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$0.71Mar 2, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$0.68Mar 2, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.30Mar 2, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.00Mar 2, 21:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 20:45 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 01:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 48 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.