Treasured-Attempt
0xac33f3b4b29695e44f2662dfeb03160108f483b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
61
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-94.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on April 29?
120 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on April 28?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on April 29?
51 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on April 30?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 29?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on April 29?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 28?
41 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 29?
38 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on April 30?
38 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on April 29?
36 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5$20.19Jul 19, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5$20.21Jul 15, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5$13.81Jul 15, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMNorway vs. England: O/U 1.5$13.82Jul 15, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: O/U 1.5$9.92Jul 11, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$5.00Jul 11, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$1.35Jul 9, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$1.25Jul 9, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$1.40Jul 9, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$0.59Jul 9, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$0.81Jul 9, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$1.30Jul 9, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$1.35Jul 9, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$0.84Jul 9, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$0.36Jul 9, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$1.25Jul 9, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$1.35Jul 9, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$1.30Jul 9, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$1.40Jul 9, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$0.00Jul 9, 08:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $2.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 12:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 15:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.