Rough-Jail
0xac34cb7e1e016e42b9469c0036935795a47f972b
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$3.71
Total PnL
$-99.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
4 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$3.71
$1.78
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
200 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-9.80
- YES
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
80 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-43.20
- NO
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
50 shares @ 97.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-48.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$2.00Apr 10, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMOpinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?$0.00Apr 10, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$15.44Mar 15, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$2.99Mar 15, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$2.00Mar 15, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$5.00Mar 15, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?$16.00Feb 9, 10:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?$49.31Jan 29, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?$49.46Jan 29, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$9.80Jan 19, 06:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$29.64Jan 19, 06:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 19, 00:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 18, 00:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 17, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 16, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 15, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 14, 00:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 10, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $21.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 12, 00:04 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 10, 06:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.