Plain-Knot
0xac4e0acdd449e107b48f5d6db3b94caff00ee799
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$25.61
Total PnL
$-96.41
Realised
$1.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
28 shares @ 10.8¢·now 27.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$7.69
$4.69
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
12 shares @ 41.8¢·now 34.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.08
$-0.92
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 77.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.71
$-0.29
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
9 shares @ 21.9¢·now 23.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.18
$0.18
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
8 shares @ 25.4¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
8 shares @ 25.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16 shares @ 12.9¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.74
$-0.26
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 83.7¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
7 shares @ 45.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.19
$-2.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$4.00May 25, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.04May 25, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$1.00May 25, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$1.00May 25, 23:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$1.61May 20, 22:05 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons$1.67May 20, 22:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$1.79May 20, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$1.01May 20, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$1.01May 18, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$1.04May 16, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$1.02May 16, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$2.69May 16, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Malta win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$1.03May 16, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$1.02May 16, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$1.30May 15, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$2.44May 15, 09:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 14:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 23:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".