Original-Contributor
0xac51b456466b7753842b444c869b0a60c593be16
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$60.55
Total PnL
$8.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?
14 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$13.82
$2.07
- YES
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
13 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$12.50
$2.50
- YES
Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?
11 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$11.49
$1.49
- YES
Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
11 shares @ 87.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$11.37
$1.37
- YES
Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?
11 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$11.36
$1.36
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$0.00Feb 2, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Jan 28, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$6.75Jan 28, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Jan 28, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Jan 28, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Jan 28, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Jan 28, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?$23.67Jan 28, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$8.09Jan 28, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$20.00Jan 28, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$10.85Jan 27, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?$100.00Jan 13, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$200.00Jan 13, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$110.00Jan 13, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$500.00Jan 12, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$200.00Jan 7, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?$300.00Jan 7, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?$549.45Dec 17, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?$500.00Nov 17, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$528.54Nov 7, 04:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $155.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 3, 07:24 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 2, 07:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.