Likely-Ebook
0xac562e3ba248372243e7afca28c81bfe97b1781a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-198.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 16?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Moonbirds FDV above $50M one day after launch?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15?
434 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.10
- YES
Will Solana reach $210 in January?
231 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
225 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 12-18?
125 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- REDPACK ESPORTS
LoL: REDPack Esports vs BeFive - Game 2 Winner
119 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-57.23
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
112 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA reach $280 in March?
101 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$4.00Mar 2, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opinion launch a token on March 5?$1.00Mar 2, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA reach $280 in March?$3.00Mar 2, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 3?$2.00Mar 2, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?$5.00Mar 2, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Heat$4.67Feb 28, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Heat$1.13Feb 28, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Heat$7.25Feb 28, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Heat$10.00Feb 28, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Heat$1.00Feb 28, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Heat$1.00Feb 28, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.00Feb 28, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.00Feb 28, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$0.00Feb 28, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$0.84Feb 28, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$0.00Feb 28, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$2.00Feb 28, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$5.00Feb 28, 11:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?$54.49Feb 28, 10:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $8.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 20:31 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 16:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".